BTCAvailable
Bitcoin
$82,445.87
-2.35% vs previous complete snapshot
24/7 crypto price
Charts
ETF-price model, the interim published proxy. Weeks before 10 Oct 2025 have no complete snapshot and are not plotted.
Bitcoin (BTC) · growthUS equities (VTI) · growthSemiconductors (SOXX) · growthGold (GLD) · defensiveUS Treasuries (IEF) · defensiveOil (USO) · zero weightSilver (SLV) · zero weight
Contributions over time
Across 53 complete weeks, Semiconductors added to CCI in 51 weeks and Bitcoin subtracted in 52 weeks; in the latest week they contributed +0.2414 and -0.1102.
Risk-on signal band
In the week to 9 Oct 2026, the four-week change was +0.0617 against a σ26 band of ±0.0816, inside the band; the rule has been evaluable since 1 May 2026.
Assets since baseline
In the week to 9 Oct 2026, Oil had the highest level (213.58) and Bitcoin the lowest (71.84), with each input set to 100 on 10 Oct 2025.
Each panel shows one input normalised to 100 on 10 Oct 2025, on the same weeks with its own y-axis.
Market monitor
USD · prices per unit / fund shareVTIAvailable
US equities
$381.94
+1.05% vs previous complete snapshot
Broad-market ETF adjusted price
SOXXAvailable
Semiconductors
$559.40
-5.01% vs previous complete snapshot
Sector ETF adjusted price
USOAvailable
Oil exposure
$148.20
+0.56% vs previous complete snapshot
Oil-futures ETF adjusted price
GLDAvailable
Gold exposure
$384.58
+1.17% vs previous complete snapshot
Gold ETF adjusted price
SLVAvailable
Silver exposure
$54.78
+0.07% vs previous complete snapshot
Silver ETF adjusted price
IEFAvailable
US Treasuries
$89.40
+0.39% vs previous complete snapshot
Treasury ETF adjusted price
Weekly table
Newest first. Downloads:
results.jsonsignals.csvDownload previous v3 results (unaligned Bitcoin)
| Week | ETF-price model inputs | CCI | Four-week average | Risk-on score | Δ4 | σ26 | Direction | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | complete | +0.1923 | +0.1853 | 3.37089 | 0.06169 | 0.08158 | up | not fired |
| 2026-10-02 | complete | +0.2216 | +0.1671 | 3.3964 | 0.09216 | 0.08589 | up | fired |
| 2026-09-25 | complete | +0.1901 | +0.1396 | 3.37837 | 0.09442 | 0.09104 | up | marginal |
| 2026-09-18 | complete | +0.1370 | +0.1146 | 3.33068 | 0.03968 | 0.09485 | up | not fired |
| 2026-09-11 | complete | +0.1197 | +0.1003 | 3.3092 | 0.06645 | 0.09565 | up | not fired |
| 2026-09-04 | complete | +0.1116 | +0.0851 | 3.30424 | 0.05818 | 0.09768 | up | not fired |
| 2026-08-28 | complete | +0.0901 | +0.0739 | 3.28395 | 0.07925 | 0.09835 | up | not fired |
| 2026-08-21 | complete | +0.0796 | +0.0658 | 3.291 | 0.06954 | 0.0982 | up | not fired |
| 2026-08-14 | complete | +0.0591 | +0.0645 | 3.24274 | 0.03137 | 0.09748 | up | not fired |
| 2026-08-07 | complete | +0.0669 | +0.0680 | 3.24606 | -0.00718 | 0.09698 | down | not fired |
| 2026-07-31 | complete | +0.0576 | +0.0769 | 3.2047 | -0.02534 | 0.0951 | down | not fired |
| 2026-07-24 | complete | +0.0743 | +0.0826 | 3.22147 | 0.00682 | 0.09406 | up | not fired |
| 2026-07-17 | complete | +0.0733 | +0.0826 | 3.21137 | -0.06259 | 0.09358 | down | not fired |
| 2026-07-10 | complete | +0.1025 | +0.0923 | 3.25324 | 0.00292 | 0.09032 | up | not fired |
| 2026-07-03 | complete | +0.0804 | +0.0888 | 3.23004 | 0.01924 | 0.08761 | up | not fired |
| 2026-06-26 | complete | +0.0742 | +0.0770 | 3.21465 | -0.07365 | 0.08625 | down | not fired |
| 2026-06-19 | complete | +0.1122 | +0.0808 | 3.27396 | -0.00844 | 0.08012 | down | not fired |
| 2026-06-12 | complete | +0.0884 | +0.0735 | 3.25032 | -0.0277 | 0.07505 | down | not fired |
| 2026-06-05 | complete | +0.0335 | +0.0695 | 3.2108 | -0.06396 | 0.06701 | down | not fired |
| 2026-05-29 | complete | +0.0891 | +0.0756 | 3.2883 | 0.06474 | 0.05794 | up | fired |
| 2026-05-22 | complete | +0.0831 | +0.0577 | 3.2824 | 0.07079 | 0.05454 | up | fired |
| 2026-05-15 | complete | +0.0725 | +0.0361 | 3.27802 | 0.10819 | 0.0511 | up | fired |
| 2026-05-08 | complete | +0.0576 | +0.0035 | 3.27476 | 0.15512 | 0.04951 | up | fired |
| 2026-05-01 | complete | +0.0176 | -0.0362 | 3.22356 | 0.18975 | 0.04998 | up | fired |
| 2026-04-24 | complete | -0.0034 | -0.0852 | 3.21162 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-04-17 | complete | -0.0577 | -0.1311 | 3.16983 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-04-10 | complete | -0.1014 | -0.1545 | 3.11964 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-04-03 | complete | -0.1784 | -0.1788 | 3.03381 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-03-27 | complete | -0.1870 | -0.1928 | 3.0129 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-03-20 | complete | -0.1512 | -0.2033 | 3.04561 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-03-13 | complete | -0.1985 | -0.2129 | 3.04896 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-03-06 | complete | -0.2347 | -0.2098 | 3.02182 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-02-27 | complete | -0.2289 | -0.1931 | 3.0318 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-02-20 | complete | -0.1894 | -0.1601 | 3.0601 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-02-13 | complete | -0.1862 | -0.1356 | 3.05621 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-02-06 | complete | -0.1680 | -0.0960 | 3.07247 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-01-30 | complete | -0.0968 | -0.0675 | 3.13431 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-01-23 | complete | -0.0913 | -0.0575 | 3.15421 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-01-16 | complete | -0.0277 | -0.0583 | 3.17621 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-01-09 | complete | -0.0543 | -0.0717 | 3.13948 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2026-01-02 | complete | -0.0567 | -0.0750 | 3.11828 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-12-26 | complete | -0.0944 | -0.0729 | 3.1014 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-12-19 | complete | -0.0813 | -0.0649 | 3.09382 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-12-12 | complete | -0.0676 | -0.0724 | 3.10491 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-12-05 | complete | -0.0484 | -0.0670 | 3.11117 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-11-28 | complete | -0.0622 | -0.0544 | 3.09536 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-11-21 | complete | -0.1115 | -0.0290 | 3.02976 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-11-14 | complete | -0.0458 | +0.0026 | 3.10164 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-11-07 | complete | +0.0017 | +0.0073 | 3.13758 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-10-31 | complete | +0.0396 | +0.0069 | 3.17594 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-10-24 | complete | +0.0147 | — | 3.16032 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-10-17 | complete | -0.0267 | — | 3.13438 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-10-10 | complete | +0.0000 | — | 3.13738 | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-10-03 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-09-26 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-09-19 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-09-12 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-09-05 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-08-29 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-08-22 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-08-15 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-08-08 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-08-01 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-07-25 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-07-18 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-07-11 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-07-04 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-06-27 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-06-20 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-06-13 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-06-06 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-05-30 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-05-23 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-05-16 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-05-09 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-05-02 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-04-25 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-04-18 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-04-11 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-04-04 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-03-28 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-03-21 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-03-14 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-03-07 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-02-28 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-02-21 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-02-14 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-02-07 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-01-31 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-01-24 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-01-17 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-01-10 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |
| 2025-01-03 | incomplete: Bitcoin missing | — | — | — | — | — | — | insufficient data |